Climatic changes and population pressure have caused major environmental change in the Sahel during the last fifty years. Many studies use coarse resolution NDVI time series such as GIMMS to detect environmental trends; however explanations for these trends remain largely unknown.
We suggest a five-step methodology for the validation of trends with a case study on the Dogon Plateau, Mali. The first step is to monitor long-term trends with coarse scale time series. Instead of GIMMS, we use a combination of LTDR (derived from AVHRR) and SPOT VGT NDVI data, covering the period from 1982-2010 with a temporal resolution of 10 days and a spatial resolution of 5 km.
Areas with significant trends are further analysed in a second step. Here we use a decomposed MODIS time series with a spatial resolution of 250 m to discover details of the blue spot i9n Figure 1. Due to the large scaled MODIS dataset, trends can be identified at a local scale / village level, see Figure 2.
Using very high resolution imagery (e.g. SPOT, Quickbird) areas of interest can be compared with pre-drought Corona-imagery from 1967. This offers a detailed overview of the environmental change at tree-level. A comparison of high resolution imagery with the Corona images show major land use changes over the past ﬁfty years. What used to be dense bush cover has partially been converted to farmer managed agro-forestry and a signiﬁcant proportion is now degraded land. Furthermore, an increase of tree cover on the ﬁelds can be detected. These different trends can also be observed in figures 3 and 4.
Yet many explanations for the changes identified remain unclear.
On-site ﬁeld work provides information on the land use systems, vegetation composition and the current environmental condition. An initial ﬁeld trip validated the suspected soil erosion and ongoing loss of trees and shrubs outside the ﬁelds used for farming purposes. On the ﬁelds surrounding the village many useful trees of all ages were identiﬁed. Still many explanations for change can only be speculated and hypothesized.
Still many explanations for change can only be speculated and hypothesized. For this reason, interviews with the local population are vital for providing missing details.
Interviews with local people showed that good farmer-management using traditional methods, without outside-inﬂuence of projects, led to an increase of tree cover on the ﬁelds and healthy environmental conditions.
The land outside of the current farming area is highly degraded, which locals explain by the following points:
- the extreme droughts in the 1970s and 1980s,
- lack of rain in the past 30 years,
- lack of protection by farmers,
- legal and illegal felling by inhabitants of provincial towns in the region,
- increased livestock numbers put pressure on the soil and vegetation.
Due to the declining vegetation cover and supported by the unfavourable morphology, the susceptibility to soil erosion increases. Many useful trees and shrubs have become rare or disappeared in these areas (e.g. Butyrospermum parkii, Crataeva adansonii, Combretum micranthum, Piliostigma reticulatum, Pterocarpus lucens, Sclerocarya birrea, etc).
This example demonstrates the importance of land use and how an integrative and qualitative approach as well as input of local inhabitants expands knowledge and understanding of environmental change in the Sahel. Greening and degradation have many reasons which need to be varified by field work. Our example demonstrates, that climatic factors are important drivers of environmental changes. But land use concepts lead to oppositional results in vegetation development and therefore heterogenous landscape patterns.
see the poster:
see: Brandt, M., Samimi, C., Romankiewicz, C. & R. Spiekermann (2012): Detecting environmental change using time series, high resolution imagery and field work – a case study in the Sahel of Mali. Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 14, EGU2012-10583, EGU General Assembly 2012.