Recent woody vegetation trends in Sahel

Our new paper looks at recent dynamics in woody vegetation in Sahel and finds some interesting patterns which are mainly controlled by human population density.

Martin Brandt, Pierre Hiernaux, Kjeld Rasmussen, Cheikh Mbow, Laurent Kergoat, Torbern Tagesson, Yahaya Ibrahim, Abdoulaye Wele, Compton J. Tucker, Rasmus Fensholt. Assessing woody vegetation trends in Sahelian drylands using MODIS based seasonal metrics. Remote Sensing of Environment, 2016, 183, 215-225.

  • Woody cover trends are estimated for Sahel based on MODIS dry season metrics.
  • Interannual fluctuations in foliage density are attenuated to monitor woody plant trends.
  • Increases (decreases) are seen in areas of low (high) human population.
  • Recent decreases only partially offset a general post-drought increase in Sahelian woody cover.

Woody plants play a major role for the resilience of drylands and in peoples’ livelihoods. However, due to their scattered distribution, quantifying and monitoring woody cover over space and time is challenging. We develop a phenology driven model and train/validate MODIS (MCD43A4, 500 m) derived metrics with 178 ground observations from Niger, Senegal and Mali to estimate woody cover trends from 2000 to 2014 over the entire Sahel at 500 m scale.

Over the 15 year period we observed an average increase of 1.7 (± 5.0) woody cover (%) with large spatial differences: No clear change can be observed in densely populated areas (0.2 ± 4.2), whereas a positive change is seen in sparsely populated areas (2.1 ± 5.2). Woody cover is generally stable in cropland areas (0.9 ± 4.6), reflecting the protective management of parkland trees by the farmers. Positive changes are observed in savannas (2.5 ± 5.4) and woodland areas (3.9 ± 7.3).

The major pattern of woody cover change reveals strong increases in the sparsely populated Sahel zones of eastern Senegal, western Mali and central Chad, but a decreasing trend is observed in the densely populated western parts of Senegal, northern Nigeria, Sudan and southwestern Niger. This decrease is often local and limited to woodlands, being an indication of ongoing expansion of cultivated areas and selective logging.

We show that an overall positive trend is found in areas of low anthropogenic pressure demonstrating the potential of these ecosystems to provide services such as carbon storage, if not over-utilized. Taken together, our results provide an unprecedented synthesis of woody cover dynamics in the Sahel, and point to land use and human population density as important drivers, however only partially and locally offsetting a general post-drought increase.

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Woody vegetation and land cover changes in the Sahel of Mali (1967–2011)

Another very interesting publication using object based methods to detect single trees on very high resolution imagery is online.

Raphael Spiekermann, Martin Brandt, Cyrus Samimi, Woody vegetation and land cover changes inthe Sahel of Mali (1967–2011), International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, Volume 34, February 2015, Pages 113-121.

It can be downloaded for free until late October using this link: http://authors.elsevier.com/a/1PeJA14ynR~DWs 

Highlights:

  • Woody cover, species and land cover change over 44 years are analyzed.
  • Object-based classifications are applied with high resolution images of 1967 and 2011.
  • Climate and especially human impact have caused extensive changes.
  • Changes are not always negative and a variety of spatial variations are shown.

Abstract:

In the past 50 years, the Sahel has experienced significant tree- and land cover changes accelerated by human expansion and prolonged droughts during the 1970s and 1980s. This study uses remote sensing techniques, supplemented by ground-truth data to compare pre-drought woody vegetation and land cover with the situation in 2011. High resolution panchromatic Corona imagery of 1967 and multi-spectral RapidEye imagery of 2011 form the basis of this regional scaled study, which is focused on the Dogon Plateau and the Seno Plain in the Sahel zone of Mali. Object-based feature extraction and classifications are used to analyze the datasets and map land cover and woody vegetation changes over 44 years. Interviews add information about changes in species compositions. Results show a significant increase of cultivated land, a reduction of dense natural vegetation as well as an increase of trees on farmer’s fields. Mean woody cover decreased in the plains (−4%) but is stable on the plateau (+1%) although stark spatial discrepancies exist. Species decline and encroachment of degraded land are observed. However, the direction of change is not always negative and a variety of spatial variations are shown. Although the impact of climate is obvious, we demonstrate that anthropogenic activities have been the main drivers of change.

50 years of woody vegetation and land-cover change in the Sahel of Mali

The Sahel region has often been acclaimed as one of the “hot spots” of environmental change. Degradation of environmental conditions was accelerated by droughts and an overall decrease in precipitation. The resulting loss of woody vegetation cover was often considered as irreversible desertification. Recent findings, based on small-scaled analyses of satellite images, show an increase of vegetation greenness since the mid-1980s. However, it often remains unclear if this is a return to pre-drought conditions or a transformation of land cover. This study uses remote sensing techniques, supplemented by ground truth data to compare pre-drought woody vegetation and land cover with the current situation on the Dogon Plateau and the Seno Plains in Mali in a 3600 km² study area. High resolution panchromatic Corona imagery (1.8 m) of December 1967 and multispectral RapidEye imagery (6.5 m) of December 2011 form the basis of this regional scaled study. The feature extraction and classification operations included in ERDAS Imagine Objective are used in an object-oriented approach in combination with spectral properties to analyse the datasets and map millions of individual trees and large shrubs for 1967 and 2011.

Fig. 1: IMAGINE Objective: Example of results in a sparsely vegetated area (Corona 1967).

Fig. 1: IMAGINE Objective: Example of results in a sparsely vegetated area (Corona 1967).

Fig. 2: Comparison of GPS-tagged photography (1-2) with very high resolution images (1a-2a) and RapidEye images (2a-2b). Source: Photos 1-2: R. Spiekermann 2011; 1a-2a: Microsoft Corporation and its data suppliers 2010; 1b-2b: RapidEye 2011.

Fig. 2: Comparison of GPS-tagged photography (1-2) with very high resolution images (1a-2a) and RapidEye images (2a-2b). Source: Photos 1-2: R. Spiekermann 2011; 1a-2a: Microsoft Corporation and its data suppliers 2010; 1b-2b: RapidEye 2011.

Land cover maps are created for 1967 and 2011 at a resolution of 20 m. An unsupervised classification method is used for the Corona images and a supervised classification for the RapidEye images. The two main classes selected are „sparse woody vegetation“ and „dense woody vegetation“. The densely vegetated areas are mostly areas of dense woody vegetation, which have not been deforested for cultivation, or also areas which have been laid fallow for extended periods of time and are now covered by shrubbery and grass. Groups of large trees within cropland areas are also included in this class. Sparsely vegetated areas are usually used for agricultural purposes and include cultivated, fallow and grazing areas.

Fig. 3: Diambara, Seno Plains as a typical example for land cover change. The darker shades of grey on the Corona image to the east and south of Diambara represent typical bush fallow areas (see also Fig. 2), which have been classified as “Densely Vegetated”. These areas no longer exist as such in 2011. However, due to an increase of woody vegetation on the sparsely vegetated fields surrounding Diambara, many of the cultivated areas are classified as “Densely Vegetated” areas. Almost a total reverse of land cover has thus occurred in the space of half a century.

Fig. 3: Diambara, Seno Plains as a typical example for land cover change. The darker shades of grey on the Corona image to the east and south of Diambara represent typical bush fallow areas (see also Fig. 2), which have been classified as “Densely Vegetated”. These areas no longer exist as such in 2011. However, due to an increase of woody vegetation on the sparsely vegetated fields surrounding Diambara, many of the cultivated areas are classified as “Densely Vegetated” areas. Almost a total reverse of land cover has thus occurred in the space of half a century.

All individuals of trees inside a 1 ha pixel are converted to a point and counted to quantify and map the tree density in 1967 and 2011. Polygons larger 225 m² are divided by this figure to approximate the actual number of trees and shrubs represented by the single feature. Figures 4 and 5 show a case study area. According to the prevailing land cover change from dense to sparse vegetation, an overall decrease of tree density can be observed. This results in a loss of natural bushland and a spreading of degraded areas on the plateau. Agricultural land in the immediate surroundings of villages see an increase of tree density, mainly on the primary fields which are fertilized and protected.

Fig. 4: The woody vegetation density in the degraded area to the southwest of Diamnati (Dogon Plateau) has drastically decreased, whereas an increase of up to 5-15 features per hectare is seen on most cultivated areas to the northeast and southeast of Diamnati village.

Fig. 4: The woody vegetation density in the degraded area to the southwest of Diamnati (Dogon Plateau) has drastically decreased, whereas an increase of up to 5-15 features per hectare is seen on most cultivated areas to the northeast and southeast of Diamnati village.

Fig. 5: Change to woody vegetation density in Diamnati (Dogon Plateau) 1967 – 2011 at a pixel resolution of 1 ha.

Fig. 5: Change to woody vegetation density in Diamnati (Dogon Plateau) 1967 – 2011 at a pixel resolution of 1 ha.

Our results show, that neither the desertification paradigm nor the greening paradigm can be generalized in the Sahel. Rather spatial variations of changes exist; the explanations for these are equally manifold. Figure 6 demonstrates, that both greening and degradation are present in the whole study area over a period of 50 years. The main causative factor for change in tree cover and density proves to be anthropogenic. Human induced land-cover change corresponds well to tree cover change in that an increase is observed on historic primary fields and a decrease mapped in areas where the dense bushland areas of 1967 have been converted to secondary cropping fields. Furthermore, many areas of the plateau are now degraded, which is often indirectly, if not, directly related to the intense droughts of the 1970s and 80s. On the other hand, the awareness and knowledge of the advantages gained when protecting the environment, i.e. ensuring the sustainable use of trees on farmland, has increased among local inhabitants. This has led to a strong increase of woody vegetation, particularly in the immediate surroundings of settlements. The number of features extracted in the Corona images is roughly four times greater than the number extracted from the RapidEye images. The reverse is true concerning the average area of the features, mainly due to the different pixel size. Thus, there is an obvious dilemma in comparing these maps quantitatively. However, although the quantitative change may not be entirely correct, the trend certainly is.

Photos (taken in Nov. and Dec. 2011) and RapidEye (Dec. 2011): a: erosion and gully systems near Gama; b: formerly dense bush, this area near Diambara was cleared and is a fallow today; c: these fields on the surroundings of Diambara show a dense and healthy woody vegetation today; d: formerly densely vegetated with tiger bush, these areas near Diamnati are degraded land today; e: only few areas of dense bush fallow are left nowadays.

Photos (taken in Nov. and Dec. 2011) and RapidEye (Dec. 2011):
a: erosion and gully systems near Gama; b: formerly dense bush, this area near Diambara was cleared and is a fallow today; c: these fields on the surroundings of Diambara show a dense and healthy woody vegetation today; d: formerly densely vegetated with tiger bush, these areas near Diamnati are degraded land today; e: only few areas of dense bush fallow are left nowadays.

Land cover change over 50 years on the Dogon Plateau and the Seno Plan

Fig. 6: Land cover change over 50 years on the Dogon Plateau and the Seno Plan

EGU poster: EGU_2013_spiekermann_small

Spiekermann, R., Brandt, M. & C. Samimi (2013): Using high resolution imagery to detect woody vegetation and land-cover change over 50 years in the Sahel of Mali. Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 15, EGU2013-11937, EGU General Assembly 2013.

master thesis: Spiekermann 2013